Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.021213 0.022962 0.024787 0.026835 0.029069 0.031434 0.034129
2025-08-31 0.018106 0.020596 0.023336 0.026583 0.030331 0.034530 0.039603
2025-09-07 0.016084 0.018976 0.022290 0.026378 0.031301 0.037060 0.044334
2025-09-14 0.014625 0.017771 0.021492 0.026238 0.032155 0.039326 0.048726
2025-09-21 0.013379 0.016667 0.020664 0.025907 0.032643 0.041059 0.052452
2025-09-28 0.012542 0.015977 0.020256 0.026013 0.033610 0.043370 0.056977
2025-10-05 0.011751 0.015271 0.019752 0.025921 0.034264 0.045255 0.060996
2025-10-12 0.011143 0.014750 0.019436 0.026026 0.035144 0.047444 0.065511
2025-10-19 0.010597 0.014269 0.019130 0.026103 0.035959 0.049551 0.070000
2025-10-26 0.010047 0.013744 0.018724 0.026001 0.036491 0.051263 0.073990
2025-11-02 0.009585 0.013310 0.018410 0.025995 0.037138 0.053145 0.078308
2025-11-09 0.009064 0.012760 0.017900 0.025668 0.037283 0.054279 0.081539
2025-11-16 0.008521 0.012167 0.017318 0.025235 0.037290 0.055275 0.084737
2025-11-23 0.008071 0.011687 0.016877 0.024987 0.037565 0.056694 0.088701
2025-11-30 0.007673 0.011262 0.016491 0.024794 0.037899 0.058208 0.092894
2025-12-07 0.007325 0.010891 0.016161 0.024663 0.038310 0.059848 0.097379
2025-12-14 0.006959 0.010473 0.015737 0.024354 0.038411 0.060980 0.101064
2025-12-21 0.006719 0.010237 0.015578 0.024452 0.039167 0.063207 0.106744
2025-12-28 0.006453 0.009946 0.015317 0.024367 0.039607 0.064922 0.111626
2026-01-04 0.006246 0.009737 0.015176 0.024465 0.040351 0.067182 0.117608
2026-01-11 0.006047 0.009531 0.015025 0.024537 0.041048 0.069387 0.123624
2026-01-18 0.005825 0.009277 0.014784 0.024441 0.041443 0.071079 0.128786
2026-01-25 0.005635 0.009066 0.014603 0.024436 0.041991 0.073062 0.134615